It's that time of year again! Yesterday I scraped some ranking and points projection data from http://fftoolbox.com.
I was interested in how the projected points declined with rank, across the player positions. The plot, below, helps explain why running backs are selected ahead of wide receivers, for example: the decline in production of wide receivers is much more shallow than for running backs. You get hurt less (in expectation) by taking lower-ranked wide receivers than you do by taking lower-ranked running backs. What I'd really like to do is integrate weekly variation into the analysis... but this requires a more substantial data scrape than I had time for.