Tuesday, August 16, 2011

Fantasy Football 2011

It's that time of year again!  Yesterday I scraped some ranking and points projection data from http://fftoolbox.com.

I was interested in how the projected points declined with rank, across the player positions. The plot, below, helps explain why running backs are selected ahead of wide receivers, for example: the decline in production of wide receivers is much more shallow than for running backs.  You get hurt less (in expectation) by taking lower-ranked wide receivers than you do by taking lower-ranked running backs.  What I'd really like to do is integrate weekly variation into the analysis... but this requires a more substantial data scrape than I had time for.

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